An engine harder to convince than you are.

Sigma Vector generates, backtests, grades, and continuously re-validates equity strategies under pinned, reproducible configurations. An AI agent layer turns the survivors into a daily workflow over your own accounts. Analysis and decision support — not a robo-trader.


6 / 53

Strategies clear the full gate

1 / 4

Universes support a defensible ranking

0 / 9

Popular external signals survived the last sweep

10.4 yr

Of walk‑forward history, 2016–2026


How it works

01

A deterministic engine

Strategy generation, backtesting, and re-validation run under pinned configurations. Identical inputs produce identical outputs, byte for byte. No hand-tuning between runs.

Pinned configs · Versioned data tapes

02

Grades, not promises

Every strategy faces an overfitting gate, a deflated performance bar, and an out-of-sample rank-persistence test. Survivors carry an explicit grade — A or provisional — and deployment is gated, not assumed.

PBO · DSR · Rank persistence

03

An agent over your accounts

The AI agent layer turns the engine into a daily workflow: graded picks, portfolio review against your actual holdings over a read-only connection, defensive-exit planning. It drafts; you decide.

MCP integration · Read-only sync

The method

Most signals don't survive our process.

That is the design. A pipeline that rejects nothing validates nothing — what ships is what passed the bars, not what looked best in a sweep. Five rules make the rejection mean something.

§ 1 · Pre-registration

Frozen before the data runs

Hypotheses, scope, and pass–fail bars are written down and frozen before anything is scored. Variants discovered mid-study are deferred to named follow-ups — never quietly promoted.

Go / no-go bars frozen verbatim
§ 2 · The kill list

Rejected ideas stay rejected

Signals that reach NO-GO, or fail to reject the null, are archived with their evidence. Nothing on the list gets re-pitched. The list is below.

Standing research ledger
§ 3 · Reproducibility

Byte-identical re-runs

Every production run pins a canonical configuration and a versioned data tape. The same run, requested twice, is the same run — byte for byte.

Pinned config · Versioned tapes
§ 4 · Grading & review

Deployment is gated

Grades come from walk-forward performance and out-of-sample rank persistence, re-reviewed on a schedule. A strategy that stops earning its grade loses it.

Grade A · Provisional · Out
§ 5 · Adversarial audits

The method is also a target

Periodic red-team passes review the methodology itself — selection bias, leakage, multiplicity. Findings land in the same ledger as everything else.

Last pass 2026-07

Signals we killed

These are not trophies; they are calibration. The bars that closed these studies are the same bars the deployed strategies passed.

Earnings-surprise drift (PEAD)

No-go

2026-06-20

Below its pre-registered significance bar; the remainder was size, sector, and momentum exposure.

13F institutional accumulation

No-go

2026-06-20

Negative net of costs. Wrong sign, not just weak.

Congressional trading tracker

No-go

2026-06-20

No effect after controls.

Ensemble of all nine swept signals

No-go

2026-06-20

Residual return indistinguishable from zero once factor exposure was removed.

Consensus entry timing

No-go

2026-06-10

Waiting for strategies to agree meant entering after the move. Beat its baseline on 0 of 15 splits.

Defensive-stop overlays, every shape tried

Null held

2026-07-05

Drawdown benefit robust in 1 of 9 configurations; return cost robust in 6 of 9. Not deployed.

An excerpt. Access includes the full ledger — every pre-registration, readout, and closure, with the run IDs to reproduce them. 62 threads on file.

What survives is put to work

Daily picks

The engine's standing recommendations, drawn only from strategies that hold a current grade.

Portfolio review

Trim-or-strengthen analysis of your actual holdings, synced read-only from your broker.

Defensive exits

Automated stops failed our own gate — see the list above — so exits are drafted as advisories, not rules. It flags overextended positions; you decide.

Ask the engine

Conversational analysis over the engine's evidence and your accounts, through an MCP integration. Answers cite the run they came from.

Scope

It does

  • Read your brokerage over a read-only connection.
  • Draft analysis and show the run behind every number.
  • Archive its failures where you can read them.

It does not

  • Hold your broker credentials.
  • Execute trades.
  • Promise returns.

Skepticism is the correct response.

Waitlist

Sigma Vector is in private development.

Leave an email to be contacted when access opens. One message; nothing else.